Policy brief

The game and the stakes of the conflict in Ukraine

What is at stake in this new geostrategic “Great Game” is the rivalry between, on the one hand, the old empires (Russia, China, Turkey or the former Ottoman Empire, Iran or the former Persian Empire, etc.) and, on the other hand, the “American hyperpower” (Védrine, 1998). More precisely, we are on the verge of the emergence of a world that is not multipolar, but “Apolar” or “non-polar”, i.e. an international situation in which no major military or economic power (such as the United States, China, etc.) or even a group of powerful states (for example, the G7) can have total influence over the rest of the world. In other words, this new configuration of international relations highlights an increasingly fragmented world. Therefore, one question remains: What are the main options for states involved (directly or indirectly) in the conflict in Ukraine? The first option is...

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